Migration to account for 70 per cent of population increase by 2031

Report comes days after IPPR said fear of migrants taking away jobs were misplaced

25 June 2009: Around 70 per cent of the population increase up to 2031 will be due to immigration, as per the figures in latest regional trends report by the Office for National Statistics. The report says newcomers will account for nearly four in 10 of the four million new households formed in England and Wales by 2021.

The report also shows that a new household will be formed every two minutes until 2021. Out of the total, almost half of it will be driven by immigration.

The report comes at a time when a paper published by the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) says that fears of migrants taking away the jobs and cutting pays are misplaced and wrong.

There appears to be no evidence to suggest large-scale migration from Eastern Europe since 2004 has had any substantial negative impact on either wages or employment, the report says. Rather, the possibility of a small positive impact cannot be ruled out.

The Royal College of Midwives too has only recently asserted that without immigrant midwives, NHS maternity care would be on its knees. The British Medical Association too has said that changes in immigration rules could lead to serious shortage of doctors and add pressure on the existing staff. Moreover, the London School of Economics has already said amnesty would add £3 bn to gross domestic product, £846 m to tax receipts.

But Labour MP Frank Field and Conservative Sir Nicholas Soames, chairman of Parliament’s cross-party Group on Balanced Migration, says as they face severe cuts in public spending, it is the politics of madness to continue with immigration policies that will mean us having to provide thousands of new homes for newcomers.

“Not to mention the necessary roads, schools and hospitals on this unprecedented scale, when our own citizens, both black and white, cannot get homes.’’

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